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Analyst Scot Ciccarelli upgraded the retailer to buy from hold and raised his price target by $6 to $86. — Alex Harring 6: 22 a.m.: Here's what Wall Street thinks of Coinbase's earnings Coinbase's stronger-than-expected earnings have prompted analyst reactions. Barclays' Benjamin Budish (underweight, $179 price target unchanged, 21.8% downside): "The biggest question going forward is, how sustainable are these trends? — Alex Harring 6:12 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Apple earnings Apple's buyback announcement has caught the eye of Wall Street analysts. Analyst Benjamin Nolan upgraded the railroad stock to buy from hold and increased his price target by $19 to $267.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, — Alex Harring, Truist, Scot Ciccarelli, Ciccarelli, Ollie's, Estee Lauder, Dara Mohsenian, Mohsenian, Alex Harring, FactSet, Coinbase, what's, , Goldman Sachs, Will Nance, Benjamin Budish, Oppenheimer's Owen Lau, JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee, Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Michael Ng, bullish, George Notter, Notter, We've, it's, Stifel, Benjamin Nolan, Nolan, — Alex Harring —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, Arista and Union Pacific, Apple, Arista, FactSet, Barclays, Bloomberg, ASU, Street, Services, Jefferies, Arista Networks, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Pacific, Union Pacific Locations: F3Q, China, Thursday's
Wall Street is celebrating Coinbase after the crypto exchange operator posted its first quarterly profit in two years. Late Thursday, Coinbase posted earnings of $1.04 per share on $954 million of revenue for the fourth quarter. "Happy days are here again" for Coinbase, as Raymond James put it, but it's not clear for how long. "That said, we maintain our U/P rating given crypto market unpredictability, lack of revenue diversification, valuation, and continued legal overhang." JPMorgan, neutral, PT $95 "Management calls spot bitcoin ETFs [a] net positive but, we're still unconvinced," said JPMorgan's Kenneth Worthington.
Persons: Coinbase, haven't, bitcoin, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Will Nance, revs, Jason Kupferberg, Benjamin Budish, EBITDA, underperform, Patrick O'Shaughnessy, we're, Kenneth Worthington, Keefe, KBW's Kyle Voigt, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, Devin Ryan, Needham, John Todaro, Canaccord, Joseph Vafi, Michael Bloom Organizations: LSEG, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, " Bank of America, Bank of America, Barclays, JPMorgan, Management, SEC, Coinbase's, BTC Locations: U.S, Coinbase, Needham
The newly launched bitcoin exchange-traded funds are showing early signs of success, but they have so far fallen short of being the massive boost for crypto some bulls predicted. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin has retreated since the launch of the bitcoin ETFs. This fall comes after some crypto investors had cited the ETF launches as a catalyst that could propel bitcoin to $100,000 in 2024. That discount likely attracted arbitrage players who used the ETF launch as an opportunity to close out their trade. Yesterday, all Bitcoin ETFs combined traded $2.2Bn, IBIT traded $340Mn.
Persons: Alex Saunders, Benjamin Budish, Aniket Ullal, Ullal, It's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Fidelity, Citi, Barclays, CFRA Research, IBIT Locations: bitcoin, GBTC
Many see the news as a strong signal that a U.S. bitcoin ETF will inevitably be green lit, which would help boost adoption of bitcoin. "If crypto trading transfers away from trading Coinbase directly and into ETFs (which, for many investors, might be the preferable way to get exposure), trading activity at Coinbase could decline further." Coinbase shares rallied nearly 15% Tuesday following the news, but the stock was down nearly 1% in trading Wednesday. "We believe a bitcoin ETF could increase competition and put pricing pressure on retail take rates. Plus, COIN's reliance on bitcoin revenue has only increased, from 31% of transaction revenue in 2Q22 to nearly 40% in 2Q23."
Persons: Bitcoin, , Benjamin Budish, Coinbase, Mizuho, Dan Dolev, Dolev, Mark Palmer, Palmer, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, U.S ., Appeals, SEC, Barclays, ETF Locations: U.S, Bitcoin, 2Q22, 2Q23
Investors should dump Coinbase ahead of its earnings report, Barclays warned. Analyst Benjamin Budish downgraded the crypto platform to underweight from equal weight while raising his price target by $9 to $70. Despite the increase, his new target implies the stock could drop 18.6% in the next year from Wednesday's close. The stock has surged more than 140% in 2023, staging a comeback from 2022's nosedive as investors have closely watched crypto stocks. Coinbase is expected to report second-quarter earnings next month, per FactSet.
Persons: Benjamin Budish, Budish, we're, BlackRock, bearish, Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Barclays isn't Locations: Wednesday's, Coinbase
The outlook for Coinbase changed little even after it beat analyst expectations in the latest quarter, some Wall Street firms say. Coinbase reported a loss of $2.46 per share on revenue of $629 million. Meanwhile, the firm's user base fell to 8.3 million monthly transacting users (MTUs) in the fourth quarter, down from 8.5 million in the previous quarter and the 8.22 million Street estimate compiled by StreetAccount. Bank of America's Jason Kupferberg was underwhelmed by the results, saying that there was "nothing thesis-changing in the print" despite the solid results. EBITDA beat was helped by lower opex.
The other was the riskiest of risk assets, whose moves mirrored those of tech stocks. It won't happen overnight, but investors more than ever want to see a crypto market driven by utility rather than speculation . Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish said his team believes "crypto assets are likely to continue to behave like high-beta risk assets going forward." Investing in the next two quarters Bitcoin has fallen more than 60% this year and sits roughly 75% off of its all-time high from November 2021. When there's a pullback in that growth, as there was this year, bitcoin tends to struggle, Alden explained.
Barclays sees a challenging near-term ahead for Blackstone after the investment firm on Thursday limited withdrawals from its large retail real estate fund. The bank downgraded shares of Blackstone to equal weight from overweight and cut its price target to $90 from $98. "In November, BREIT repurchased ~$1.3B of shares, representing ~43% of of redemption requests in the month, indicating just over $3B of total redemption requests in November, nearly doubling month over month," said Budish. While offshore investors represent about 20% of the fund, they make up roughly 70% of withdrawals this year. Despite the near-term pressures on the fund, Barclays is still optimistic on the longer-term retail opportunity for alternative assets and sees Blackstone as a well-positioned beneficiary.
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Nevertheless, crypto trading services such as those offered by Coinbase , SoFi and Robinhood are likely to suffer a lull nevertheless as retail and institutional investors alike exit the market or try and move past their fear of another upheaval. "We are updating our model to reflect a 'lower for longer' assumption, particularly as it pertains to retail trading," Budish said. SoFi in a unique position This week, Democratic senators urged regulators to look into SoFi's trading activity as Washington attempts contemplates acting on FTX's spectacular collapse. SoFi has said its crypto revenue exposure is immaterial, it's compliant with regulators, doesn't do any crypto lending and had no exposure to FTX. However, it's possible that SOFI may find itself more heavily regulated with potential for incremental capital and liquidity requirements."
Active user jump Where analysts see the potential for optimism in Coinbase's report is in its reported active monthly users. While active monthly users dipped in the quarter to 8.5 million from 9 million, the company handily beat Wall Street's expectations of 7.84 million monthly active users. Budish also lowered his price target after management's guidance but maintained his equal weight rating on the Coinbase. The result was that lower trading volume drove Coinbase trading revenue to the lowest level since becoming a public company." Cowen has an outperform rating on shares of Coinbase and a $75 price target, albeit down from an earlier $85.
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